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Red76
18120.0
71538.4
13122.0
Blue65
12621.9
346122.4
740723.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527602040601001207665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#18
22.01.8
20.922.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End8.6
blue by 1.8
7407
#15
23.80.5
24.023.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End6.3
Second
181
#21
20.01.8
21.823.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End5.5
blue by 2.4
3461
#22
22.40.5
26.325.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End4.7
Third
7153
#46
8.41.8
6.68.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 13.5
126
#47
21.90.5
21.921.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsMissed