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Red54
46716.1
12621.9
172925.3
Blue111
216832.5
712719.7
147426.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions709002040608010012014054111

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.0
25.325.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.2
End7.4
blue by 7.2
32.51.8
32.534.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.7
End4.7
Second
126
#47
21.95.2
21.927.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End3.8
blue by 4.2
26.22.8
26.229.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Third
467
#13
16.15.1
16.111.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 3.6
7127
#12
19.75.5
19.725.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned