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Red62
640814.8
35930.9
639014.7
Blue47
779612.1
717016.6
648523.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53360204060806247

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
30.90.8
23.924.7
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End9.2
red by 7.0
23.91.5
11.512.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End7.5
Second
6408
#20
14.81.3
12.013.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 1.8
7170
#11
16.61.5
12.213.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Third
6390
#18
14.71.3
14.615.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 2.6
7796
#19
12.13.0
14.511.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsEarned