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Red30
716920.9
145214.7
671911.1
Blue63
433422.8
648523.9
717312.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364420304050603063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7169
#6Sur
20.90.5
15.014.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End3.2
blue by 3.0
6485
#3Sur
23.92.0
13.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End7.5
Second
1452
#14
14.70.5
9.28.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End4.1
blue by 8.2
22.82.0
17.519.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Third
6719
#30
11.10.5
10.29.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 1.0
7173
#12
12.12.0
10.912.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned