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Red28
768810.5
713514.0
717016.6
Blue46
639014.7
645813.1
715814.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353920253045502846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7170
#11
16.60.6
15.114.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 1.9
6390
#18
14.71.0
14.715.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Second
14.00.6
11.711.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.4
blue by 0.5
7158
#15
14.51.0
12.313.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End4.1
Third
7688
#28
10.50.6
6.35.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 2.6
6458
#16
13.11.0
10.211.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed