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Red79
715814.5
35930.9
145214.7
Blue17
779612.1
243814.7
72879.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5237203060707917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
30.91.4
26.027.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End9.2
red by 16.2
2438
#23
14.72.0
11.59.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End5.4
Second
1452
#14
14.72.3
10.612.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End4.1
red by 2.6
7796
#19
12.12.0
12.610.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
Third
7158
#15
14.52.3
12.614.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End4.1
red by 5.0
7287
#33
9.42.0
11.39.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed