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Red57
433422.8
719015.6
717016.6
Blue42
511811.7
635115.4
212217.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5140203060705742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.7
21.121.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End4.0
red by 5.2
2122
#24
17.70.4
14.815.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Second
7170
#11
16.60.7
15.115.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 1.2
15.40.4
11.912.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Third
7190
#26
15.60.7
11.912.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 3.9
5118
#13
11.70.4
11.311.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed