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Red48
778116.4
779612.1
719015.6
Blue30
645813.1
462511.7
778712.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362710203040504830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7781
#10
16.41.2
11.112.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 3.3
6458
#16
13.10.5
11.812.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Second
7190
#26
15.61.2
12.513.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 3.6
7787
#31
12.00.5
5.56.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End3.6
Third
7796
#19
12.11.2
10.611.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
red by 0.4
4625
#22
11.70.5
7.88.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed