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Red42
778712.0
462718.9
78056.9
Blue43
768810.5
715814.5
511811.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2934102040504243

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#25
18.91.6
14.516.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
red by 4.4
7158
#15
14.50.5
14.914.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End4.1
Second
7787
#31
12.01.6
6.07.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End3.6
red by 0.3
5118
#13
11.70.5
10.59.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Third
7805
#35
6.91.6
7.38.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 3.6
7688
#28
10.50.5
6.56.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed