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Red38
78056.9
639014.7
635115.4
Blue38
640814.8
511811.7
145214.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041203050603838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.3
red by 0.6
6408
#20
14.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Second
6390
#18
14.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Level
1452
#14
14.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End4.1
Third
7805
#35
6.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 4.8
5118
#13
11.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed