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Red52
84623.9
719015.6
64865.9
Blue41
145214.7
259414.1
779612.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45411020305060705241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#2
23.90.0
21.321.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End6.7
red by 9.2
1452
#14
14.70.1
14.814.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End4.1
Second
7190
#26
15.60.0
15.815.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 1.6
2594
#21
14.10.1
14.114.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
6486
#29
5.90.0
5.75.7
Auto4.3
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
blue by 6.2
7796
#19
12.10.1
10.310.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed