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Red56
778116.4
433422.8
462511.7
Blue25
78056.9
717312.1
717016.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504320304060705625

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.8
21.722.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End4.0
red by 6.2
7170
#11
16.61.9
17.916.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Second
7781
#10
16.40.8
16.116.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 4.3
7173
#12
12.11.9
14.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Third
4625
#22
11.70.8
9.610.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
red by 4.8
7805
#35
6.92.2
8.66.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed