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Red41
72879.4
462718.9
259414.1
Blue43
779612.1
635115.4
640814.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220305060704143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#25
18.90.2
16.816.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End4.5
red by 3.5
15.40.3
14.715.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End2.3
Second
2594
#21
14.10.2
14.013.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 0.7
6408
#20
14.80.3
14.414.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Third
7287
#33
9.40.2
9.69.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 2.6
7796
#19
12.10.3
10.210.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed