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Red48
99974.6
19019.5
176821.9
Blue35
242312.7
54948.5
620111.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50360204060801004835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#13
21.90.0
24.224.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End4.3
red by 9.3
2423
#11
12.70.1
12.212.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End4.8
Second
190
#6
19.50.0
20.120.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End6.7
red by 7.7
6201
#20
11.70.1
12.112.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End5.0
Third
4.60.0
3.53.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 3.9
5494
#24
8.50.1
9.49.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsEarned