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Red35
19525.6
404814.5
99995.5
Blue37
19659.6
176821.9
2465.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5242102030607080903537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
25.61.0
26.926.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.4
End4.8
red by 3.7
1768
#13
21.90.4
24.223.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Second
4048
#21
14.51.0
16.615.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End4.9
red by 4.9
9.60.4
9.79.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End2.6
Third
9999
#17
5.51.0
6.25.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.7
red by 0.3
246
#22
5.20.4
5.85.5
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed