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Red20
12526.2
556311.4
17616.8
Blue25
99995.5
99974.6
19659.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531904060802025

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#5
26.22.0
28.226.2
Auto3.1
Teleop17.4
End5.7
red by 16.6
9.60.4
9.39.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End2.6
Second
5563
#25
11.42.0
13.011.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
red by 5.9
9999
#17
5.50.4
5.25.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.7
Third
1761
#16
6.82.0
8.76.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.3
red by 2.2
4.60.4
3.84.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed