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Red47
99995.5
17212.1
568726.0
Blue47
99974.6
110018.2
632816.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51440204060801004747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#10
26.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End6.7
red by 7.8
18.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End5.8
Second
172
#15
12.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 4.4
6328
#14
16.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
9999
#17
5.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.7
red by 1.0
4.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsEarned