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Red61
586913.9
512424.1
249317.3
Blue42
585714.5
98014.7
70221.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50504555606142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#14
24.10.7
21.922.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
red by 2.9
702
#20
21.10.4
20.420.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End3.4
Second
2493
#28
17.30.7
14.114.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End4.8
red by 2.6
980
#29
14.70.4
15.615.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
5869
#16
13.90.7
11.612.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.4
End6.6
blue by 0.5
5857
#30
14.50.4
11.511.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed