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Red44
76079.8
501227.3
585714.5
Blue88
167841.3
265929.7
70221.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569240801001204488

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.6
26.726.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End4.3
blue by 14.0
41.30.1
40.640.7
Auto4.7
Teleop25.3
End11.3
Second
5857
#30
14.50.6
14.714.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.4
blue by 15.3
29.70.1
25.425.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End7.1
Third
7607
#35
9.80.6
12.011.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 11.3
702
#20
21.10.1
21.121.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed67%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned