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Red37
76079.8
98014.7
606019.1
Blue52
416017.6
777814.6
510217.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5047304060703752

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6060
#18
19.10.7
20.319.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.9
red by 1.5
4160
#10
17.60.5
16.016.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
980
#29
14.70.7
15.314.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
blue by 2.6
5102
#23
17.30.5
14.815.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End4.4
Third
7607
#35
9.80.7
11.410.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 4.8
7778
#25
14.60.8
14.014.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed