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Red82
695711.9
501227.3
265929.7
Blue41
491321.8
643620.0
233912.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70563040506080901008241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.0
25.526.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.4
End7.1
red by 7.9
4913
#11
21.80.8
21.420.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Second
27.31.0
26.127.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End4.3
red by 7.3
6436
#26
20.01.2
18.717.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Third
6957
#37
11.91.0
14.715.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 0.1
2339
#32
12.01.2
13.312.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsMissed