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Red45
777814.6
70221.1
96813.1
Blue51
586913.9
416017.6
395316.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52482030406070804551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#20
21.10.5
21.220.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End3.4
red by 3.6
4160
#10
17.60.4
16.516.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
7778
#25
14.60.8
14.814.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.8
blue by 2.1
16.80.4
14.715.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End7.8
Third
968
#21
13.10.5
13.412.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 0.8
5869
#16
13.90.4
14.414.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned