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Red83
412320.2
375918.9
153823.6
Blue68
512424.1
416017.6
643620.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676040801008368

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.2
23.523.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End5.0
blue by 0.5
5124
#14
24.10.7
22.923.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
4123
#15
20.20.2
20.420.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.3
red by 0.2
6436
#26
20.01.0
17.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Third
3759
#12
18.90.2
19.619.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 1.3
4160
#10
17.60.7
16.817.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned