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Red52
249317.3
501227.3
58510.2
Blue9
586913.9
401417.4
242912.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48430206080529

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
22.022.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End4.3
red by 9.9
4014
#17
17.42.8
12.810.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Second
2493
#28
17.30.3
13.613.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End4.8
red by 3.4
5869
#16
13.92.1
13.010.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.4
End6.6
Third
585
#33
10.20.2
10.310.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 2.7
2429
#27
12.92.1
15.012.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed