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Red35
585714.5
58510.2
586913.9
Blue44
607215.7
58917.4
375918.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41521020306070803544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5857
#30
14.50.5
13.913.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End2.4
blue by 4.4
3759
#12
18.90.4
18.618.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Second
5869
#16
13.90.5
13.112.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.4
End6.6
blue by 3.4
589
#8
17.40.4
16.115.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End6.8
Third
585
#33
10.20.5
11.711.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 5.6
6072
#31
15.70.4
14.914.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsMissed