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Red48
607215.7
416017.6
263715.9
Blue75
347624.4
401417.4
501227.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4870204060801004875

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#10
17.60.2
17.517.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 9.8
27.30.4
26.627.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End4.3
Second
2637
#34
15.90.2
13.613.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.2
blue by 8.6
3476
#13
24.40.4
23.623.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.2
End5.4
Third
6072
#31
15.70.2
14.514.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 1.7
4014
#17
17.40.4
16.116.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsMissed