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Red49
58109.7
715710.5
696010.4
Blue40
96813.3
364726.8
59714.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346002040804940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#23
10.50.5
11.512.0
Auto4.0
Teleop1.4
End5.1
blue by 16.2
3647
#11
26.81.1
24.022.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
6960
#29
10.40.5
10.711.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End3.2
blue by 4.5
597
#30
14.91.1
19.918.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Third
5810
#33
9.70.5
10.410.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End4.2
blue by 3.6
968
#34
13.31.1
13.112.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed21%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned7%HAB Docking oddsMissed