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Red54
72309.5
212226.9
29424.6
Blue63
263713.8
347626.7
690419.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75562040801005463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#13
26.91.1
33.532.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End7.0
red by 0.2
26.70.7
21.922.6
Auto3.0
Teleop18.5
End5.1
Second
294
#16
24.61.1
28.227.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End10.6
red by 5.5
6904
#14
19.10.7
16.216.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End3.6
Third
7230
#32
9.51.1
9.18.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 4.3
2637
#21
13.80.7
14.615.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
33%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed