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Red49
715710.5
744718.3
427623.6
Blue52
265920.2
461912.1
607215.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555230405060704952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.2
21.821.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.7
red by 3.4
2659
#18
20.20.2
21.321.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.7
End4.8
Second
7447
#28
18.30.2
18.618.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 3.0
6072
#24
15.30.2
15.515.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End3.6
Third
7157
#23
10.50.2
11.411.2
Auto4.0
Teleop1.4
End5.1
blue by 1.6
4619
#22
12.10.2
12.412.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed