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Red62
65357.7
96813.3
347626.7
Blue44
461912.1
263713.8
744718.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444902060801006244

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.4
23.024.3
Auto3.0
Teleop18.5
End5.1
red by 8.3
7447
#28
18.30.4
18.418.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Second
968
#34
13.31.4
12.313.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 0.5
2637
#21
13.80.4
15.615.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Third
6535
#26
7.71.4
6.47.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
blue by 4.4
4619
#22
12.10.4
12.612.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
21%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed