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Red57
183623.2
519923.0
59714.9
Blue44
432210.7
330927.8
715710.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74564060801005744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#27
23.20.9
27.626.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End4.2
blue by 4.7
27.80.6
27.526.9
Auto2.9
Teleop18.3
End6.6
Second
23.00.9
25.024.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End6.0
red by 12.3
4322
#36
10.70.6
14.113.5
Auto5.1
Teleop1.5
End4.1
Third
597
#30
14.90.9
17.516.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End2.4
red by 4.3
7157
#23
10.50.6
11.210.6
Auto4.0
Teleop1.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed37%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned