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Red90
581832.0
68725.2
113816.2
Blue91
347626.7
364726.8
427623.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75746065708085909091

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.2
30.932.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.2
End6.6
red by 5.2
3647
#11
26.81.4
22.724.2
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
687
#2
25.21.2
23.524.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.4
End5.0
blue by 1.5
26.71.4
24.325.8
Auto3.0
Teleop18.5
End5.1
Third
1138
#35
16.21.2
16.918.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 7.4
23.61.4
22.624.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned53%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsEarned