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Red44
113816.2
65357.7
72309.5
Blue37
58109.7
68725.2
432210.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510204060801004437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#35
16.20.7
18.218.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 9.0
687
#2
25.20.7
24.724.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Second
7230
#32
9.50.7
7.88.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 1.3
4322
#36
10.70.7
12.711.9
Auto5.1
Teleop1.5
End4.1
Third
6535
#26
7.70.7
6.87.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End2.6
blue by 2.0
5810
#33
9.70.7
10.810.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed