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Red51
29424.6
461912.1
330927.8
Blue58
212226.9
581832.0
39919.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67864060801001205158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.9
26.425.5
Auto2.9
Teleop18.3
End6.6
blue by 4.2
32.01.6
32.130.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.2
End6.6
Second
294
#16
24.60.9
25.524.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End10.6
blue by 2.2
2122
#13
26.91.6
29.227.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Third
4619
#22
12.10.9
11.911.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 7.0
399
#17
19.11.6
20.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
32%Rocket oddsMissed27%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsMissed