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Red52
416.0
501226.8
461912.1
Blue50
29424.6
622012.8
607215.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64635055606570755250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#12
26.80.6
27.526.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.1
red by 2.2
294
#16
24.60.6
28.828.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End10.6
Second
4
#31
16.00.6
19.619.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End4.0
red by 0.7
6072
#24
15.30.6
16.816.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End3.6
Third
4619
#22
12.10.8
13.412.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 0.7
6220
#25
12.80.8
13.712.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned