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Red71
29424.6
364726.8
744718.3
Blue47
622012.8
183623.2
596614.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6955204060801007147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#11
26.80.3
24.224.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 3.6
1836
#27
23.20.3
24.924.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End4.2
Second
294
#16
24.60.3
24.725.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End10.6
red by 10.0
5966
#20
14.60.3
13.112.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Third
7447
#28
18.30.3
16.917.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 5.5
6220
#25
12.80.3
13.713.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed