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Red44
72309.5
183623.2
461912.1
Blue46
113816.2
704214.7
29424.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476102040801004446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#27
23.20.0
24.524.5
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End4.2
blue by 1.4
294
#16
24.60.8
25.024.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End10.6
Second
4619
#22
12.10.0
11.311.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 4.1
1138
#35
16.20.8
18.217.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End3.3
Third
7230
#32
9.50.0
8.88.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 5.3
7042
#19
14.70.8
14.814.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed95%HAB Docking oddsMissed