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Red30
622012.8
432210.7
59714.9
Blue86
690419.1
265920.2
68725.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426320801003086

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#30
14.90.6
14.814.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End2.4
blue by 10.3
687
#2
25.21.5
24.826.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Second
6220
#25
12.80.6
13.412.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 7.4
2659
#18
20.21.5
18.420.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.7
End4.8
Third
4322
#36
10.70.6
11.410.8
Auto5.1
Teleop1.5
End4.1
blue by 8.4
6904
#14
19.11.5
16.918.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned