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Red42
696218.5
84010.2
264310.6
Blue43
820.3
77777.3
25321.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3656020804243

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.5
15.315.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End4.0
blue by 2.9
253
#14
21.40.7
23.422.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End3.6
Second
2643
#22
10.60.5
9.49.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
blue by 9.7
8
#7
20.30.7
21.220.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
840
#24
10.20.5
9.610.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End2.9
red by 2.9
7777
#29
7.30.7
8.88.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed