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Red40
77777.3
541916.9
617417.4
Blue55
804814.1
415910.8
67017.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50452030406070804055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6174
#19
17.40.7
17.116.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.1
red by 0.3
670
#17
17.10.5
17.617.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
5419
#27
16.90.5
20.820.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End5.1
red by 2.9
14.14.8
14.19.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Third
7777
#29
7.30.6
9.79.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 3.5
4159
#33
10.80.5
14.814.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed