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Red50
804814.1
696218.5
11424.3
Blue43
415910.8
84624.6
264310.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61502040801005043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#6
24.30.5
25.825.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.3
End3.9
blue by 0.3
846
#3
24.60.3
26.426.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.1
End6.1
Second
18.50.5
16.816.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End4.0
red by 7.7
4159
#33
10.80.3
10.610.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Third
14.10.8
15.314.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 3.5
2643
#22
10.60.3
10.710.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed