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Red63
64923.7
42559.5
541916.9
Blue51
617417.4
264310.6
54305.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523101020406070806351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#4
23.70.3
23.223.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End6.6
red by 6.3
6174
#19
17.41.4
16.217.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.1
Second
5419
#27
16.90.3
16.616.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End5.1
red by 6.4
2643
#22
10.61.4
9.210.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Third
4255
#31
9.50.3
9.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End3.8
red by 3.7
5430
#36
5.81.4
4.45.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsEarned5%HAB Docking oddsEarned