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Red26
641817.2
97126.5
41869.2
Blue53
510417.4
264310.6
820.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7958401002653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#8
26.53.2
38.735.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.8
red by 6.2
8
#7
20.30.1
22.822.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Second
6418
#20
17.23.2
20.517.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 0.2
5104
#13
17.40.1
21.521.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End3.8
Third
4186
#34
9.23.2
15.211.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 1.4
2643
#22
10.60.1
10.610.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
25%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed