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Red1
581829.3
441431.1
682112.4
Blue0
999828.3
999911.0
99978.0
85%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7750020406010012010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
red by 2.9
9998
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Second
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End6.6
red by 18.3
9999
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
6821
#19
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 4.5
9997
Unranked
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End2.0