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Red36
682112.4
581829.3
98014.7
Blue56
419.6
392517.6
441431.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607202040801001201403656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End6.6
blue by 1.8
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
Second
980
#21
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
blue by 4.9
4
#8
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Third
6821
#19
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 5.2
3925
#14
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds14%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking odds93%HAB Docking odds