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Red48
3863B11.3
73268.2
441431.1
Blue59
332812.8
265928.3
386322.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536701001504859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
red by 2.8
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End7.0
Second
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.9
End1.1
blue by 11.3
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.9
End2.1
Third
7326
#15
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 4.5
3328
#18
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking odds26%HAB Docking odds