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Red30
210223.8
375918.9
2102B11.9
Blue60
441431.1
59924.5
682112.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587202040801001201403060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#11
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End8.0
blue by 7.3
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
Second
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 5.6
599
#20
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End5.3
Third
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 0.5
6821
#19
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds20%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking odds82%HAB Docking odds