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Red71
581829.3
441431.1
682112.4
Blue62
210223.8
386322.6
392517.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776840601001207162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End8.0
red by 7.3
2102
#11
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Second
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End6.6
red by 6.7
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.9
End2.1
Third
6821
#19
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
blue by 5.2
3925
#14
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.3