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Red42
713714.7
722914.6
255127.0
Blue40
325717.0
107221.6
325015.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049304060704240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.3
22.922.6
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End5.7
red by 5.4
1072
#49
21.60.5
17.617.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
7137
#17
14.70.3
13.112.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.4
End4.0
blue by 2.3
3257
#48
17.00.5
15.314.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End5.5
Third
7229
#57
14.60.6
11.210.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 0.5
3250
#51
15.20.5
13.713.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed