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Red38
661211.0
787013.4
283925.4
Blue47
464312.9
688311.7
388016.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43442030405060703847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.4
20.019.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.6
End7.5
red by 8.7
3880
#23
16.60.7
15.414.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End3.2
Second
7870
#46
13.40.6
8.78.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
red by 0.5
4643
#10
12.91.2
12.811.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
6612
#58
11.00.6
11.911.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 0.6
6883
#42
11.71.2
13.712.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed